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The Motley Fool
May 15, 2007
Emil Lee |
Minimize Your Investment Losses A mental model for thinking about investing. 1. What is the worst-case scenario that could develop?... 2. What is the probability of the worst-case scenario?... etc.   |
The Motley Fool
October 31, 2006
Emil Lee |
How to Calculate the Kelly Formula Although any formula is only as good as the estimates and data plugged into it, this formula forces investors to think in terms of payoffs and probabilities when investing in a company. |
BusinessWeek
July 30, 2009
Pablo Triana |
The Risk Mirage at Goldman Reports that the firm has ratcheted up its exposure are based on a meaningless metric |
CIO
July 1, 2003
Scott Berinato |
Playing with Fire IT is late to embrace risk analysis, but without it, project portfolio management is nothing more than a fad. |
The Motley Fool
April 27, 2010
Morgan Housel |
5 Lessons From 5 Smart Investors Here are five bits of timeless advice given by five investors who have proven to be among the greats. |
Science News
October 25, 2003
Ivars Peterson |
Seven-Game World Series In professional baseball's World Series, the championship is decided in a best-of-seven format. The first team to win four games gets the pennant. Curiously, series that go on for the full seven games appear to occur more often than simple probability arguments would suggest. |
The Motley Fool
December 3, 2009
Nick Kapur |
Warren Buffett Is Breaking the Rules! The Oracle is making big bets. Are you? For a guy who claims his first rule of investing is "Never lose money," Warren Buffett doesn't appear to have much of a problem with it. |
Search Engine Watch
June 24, 2009
Tim Ash |
Applying Probability to Landing Page Optimization In the context of LPO, probability can be viewed as simply taking the best guess given the available information. The more information you have, the more accurate your guess will become. |
The Motley Fool
October 18, 2004
Jeff Hwang |
Will the Red Sox Make the World Series? A study in probability is illustrative in sports and in investing. Forecasting and calculating probabilities is essential to calculating expected values and thus stock valuation. |
Science News
June 11, 2005
Ivars Peterson |
Winning at Tennis Intriguingly, mathematical models tend to show that the chances of winning a game, set, or match in tennis come down to the probability that a player wins a rally when he or she serves. |
Financial Advisor
March 2012
James Picerno |
Building A Better Sharpe Ratio The reward-to-variability ratio (as it was originally labeled) remains a hardy perennial for evaluating money managers and investment strategies. |
Chemistry World
December 10, 2013
Erin Withans |
Dice world Brian Clegg discusses all aspects of the notion of 'chance': from everyday uses of statistics, such as weather forecasting and stock markets, to a final philosophical note on pre-determination and God in his book, Dice World. |
BusinessWeek
July 9, 2007
Gene G. Marcial |
USG: Fresh Blueprints Buzz that Warren Buffett may hike Berkshire Hathaway's 17% stake in USG, the world's No.1 maker of gypsum wallboard, is heating up. |
Financial Advisor
November 2010
Eric Rasmussen |
Sharpe On Post Retirement The Nobel laureate spoke to NAPFA members about what it means to get 4% a year. |
The Motley Fool
October 13, 2005
Jim Fink |
Be Your Own Casino: Part 1 The average investor can exploit a unique characteristic of options known as time decay via the use of spreads to reap profits in a limited-risk way. |
Financial Planning
August 1, 2005
John Nersesian |
The Full Monte By presenting clients with a range of potential results before they experience them and showing them the impact of their investment choices, planners can manage clients' expectations much better than with standard linear forecasting. |
The Motley Fool
February 26, 2004
Matt Logan |
It Ain't What You Know... Weighing you knows and don't knows when considering investing in a company. |
The Motley Fool
July 10, 2006
David Meier |
Survive the Investment Race Michael Mauboussin, chief investment strategist at Legg Mason and author of More Than You Know, shares his insights on how to be a successful long-term investor. |
BusinessWeek
February 25, 2010
Alice Schroeder |
When CEOs Have Warren Buffett in Their Boardroom What's it like to have America's greatest investor as your shareholder? Buffett's biographer talks to CEOs who know. |
The Motley Fool
March 3, 2006
Jeff Hwang |
How Much Would You Pay for Aces? Here is a lesson in valuation for poker players and investors alike. |
Investment Advisor
September 2006
Mike Patton |
Risk Manager A view from the trenches on the benefits and drawbacks of the financial planning profession's Monte Carlo simulation. When the software is used properly, the client wins, the practitioner wins, and the financial services industry wins. |
The Motley Fool
May 5, 2007
Matt Koppenheffer |
Quick Take: Shorting, Gambling, and Being Like Buffett How to be a better investor? Get it straight from the Warren Buffett's mouth. |
Science News
April 23, 2005
Ivars Peterson |
Classroom Birthdays Probability dictates that if you're in a class of more than 30 students, it's a good bet that a birthday match would be found on or before the tenth student's announcement. |
The Motley Fool
February 24, 2005
David Meier |
Got Value? Value investing is the best way to play. Is it in you? As an investor, your goal is to have your investments outperform the market. Have you got value to help you achieve them? |
