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Inc. December 2007 Joseph H. Ellis |
Understanding the Economy People worry that a recession is coming. But by the time one arrives, most economic harm has already happened. |
Knowledge@Wharton |
This Feels Like a Slump, But Is It a Recession? Comments from seven economists on whether the current slowdown is a recession, how to tell if it is one, and what this may indicate about the nature of the "new" economy. |
Finance & Development March 2009 Claessens & Kose |
What Is a Recession? The ongoing global financial crisis has been accompanied by recessions in many countries. It stands to become one of the longest and deepest recessions since the Great Depression of the 1930s. |
Finance & Development June 2009 Kose et al. |
Out of the Ballpark By any measure, the ongoing global recession is the deepest and the most synchronized of the postwar period |
Financial Planning September 1, 2008 Stephen Savage |
Anatomy of a Recovery Let's look at performance history to analyze how past market downturns have played out and, more specifically, the ultimate impacts of different levels of decline. |
CFO April 1, 2006 Edward Teach |
As the Cycle Turns Even the most complex econometric models are blind to sudden turns in the business cycle. Recognizing the difficulty of predicting the future, most companies no longer employ staff economists, outsourcing their forecasting needs to commercial firms and university-based centers. |
BusinessWeek September 29, 2003 Robert J. Barro |
The Stubborn Jobless Rate: Puzzling, but Far from Scary The Dems say the labor market is the worst since the Depression. But the drop in jobs has been milder than in many other recessions. |
On Wall Street January 1, 2012 Rob Stein |
Here Comes The Contraction -- And It Could Be Good For Us Rather than believe the sky is falling again, this time there is cause for optimism. |
The Motley Fool March 24, 2008 Tom Hutchinson |
Finding the Bottom of a Recession Bad times sometimes bring the best investment opportunities. |
The Motley Fool March 24, 2008 Dan Caplinger |
What Past Recessions Can Teach You History suggests smart ways to protect your investments. |
The Motley Fool March 24, 2008 Kristin Graham |
4 Key Recession Indicators Learn to spot a recession before it hits your portfolio. |
The Motley Fool November 8, 2006 Selena Maranjian |
What Causes a Recession? Learn the key factors behind an economic slowdown. |
BusinessWeek August 6, 2009 James C. Cooper |
Business Outlook: Greater Expectations for Second-Half GDP Growth Economists are raising their second-half forecasts to 2% to 3%, a pace that would increase the chances for a sustainable economic recovery. |
Job Journal September 5, 2010 John Challenger |
Career Pros: Job Market Recovery is Stronger Than Many Think Compared to previous recessions, the job market is recovering quickly. |
The Motley Fool September 20, 2010 Morgan Housel |
So Long, Recession The organization tasked with dating the start and end of recessions -- the National Bureau of Economic Research -- has officially laid our recent one to rest. Actually, it says the recession ended over a year ago, in June 2009. |
The Motley Fool September 21, 2006 Dan Caplinger |
Know Your Numbers: Leading Economic Indicators By looking at the LEI index, you can make appropriate investment decisions and predict how prevailing economic trends are likely to affect you. |
U.S. Banker March 2010 Michael Widner |
A Long, Slow Slog For the first time in 50 years, consumers and businesses are shrinking their debt. Unemployment is higher than ever, and the jobs recovery will take years. So is the economic rebound sustainable? |
BusinessWeek November 3, 2003 Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: The Virtuous Cycle Is Finally Kicking In As the recovery takes hold, GDP growth may hit levels not seen since 2000. |
BusinessWeek July 23, 2009 James C. Cooper |
Business Outlook: A Second-Half Recovery Could Be Fleeting Output may rise to slow inventory depletion, but gains won't be sustainable without stronger consumer spending. Trouble is, job markets remain weak. |
The Motley Fool February 14, 2008 Timothy M. Otte |
Could These 3 Stocks Beat the Recession, Again? Let's look at three large-cap stocks that beat the 2001 recession: Proctor & Gamble... Archer Daniels Midland... Johnson & Johnson... |
CFO March 1, 2010 Russ Banham |
The Shape of Things to Come L, V, or W? Perhaps a check mark, or something with a wiggly tail? Top economists debate what the recovery will look like. |
IndustryWeek September 1, 2006 Michael K. Evans |
Evans On The Economy -- Beware Of The Sour Spot The Fed must get serious on inflation now to stave off a serious recession later. |
FDIC FYI March 23, 2006 |
Scenarios for the Next U.S. Recession. A string of positive reports on the U.S. economy and banking industry has led some analysts to ask -- How long can these good times last? |
Financial Advisor July 2011 Somnath Basu |
Will The Economy Double-Dip? Other than the stock market, most indicators reflect a trough, not the early stages of a growth cycle. Here's what advisors should watch for. |
CFO June 1, 2008 Edward Teach |
How Bad Will It Get? The subprime-mortgage meltdown is strikingly similar to major financial crises in other countries. Will the aftermath be as costly? |
CFO December 1, 2010 Russ Banham |
Shape Shifters Top economists tinker with their projections for 2011. |
The Motley Fool September 8, 2009 Jennifer Schonberger |
Expert Summit: Is the Recession Over? Top financial pros weigh in on whether the recession is over. |
BusinessWeek April 2, 2007 James C. Cooper |
U.S.: Say Goodbye To High Growth And Low Inflation The economic Eden of the late 1990s and early 2000s is slowly fading. |
BusinessWeek November 24, 2003 Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: The Jobless Recovery: Kiss It Good-Bye More demand and smaller productivity gains will boost payrolls. |
BusinessWeek May 14, 2007 James C. Cooper |
Business Slowdown? Don't Count On It With profits strong and inventories down, capital spending should rally. |
The Motley Fool September 22, 2010 Dan Caplinger |
Top Stocks for the Post-Recession Economy Recession's over. Here's where to put your money. |
Finance & Development December 1, 2008 Claessens et al. |
When Crises Collide Recessions accompanied by credit crunches or asset price busts are deeper and longer lasting. |
BusinessWeek October 8, 2009 James C. Cooper |
Business Outlook: Why the Earnings Forecast Is Upbeat With productivity skyrocketing and labor costs plunging, profits will post strong growth in coming quarters now that demand is beginning to turn up. |
BusinessWeek March 12, 2007 James C. Cooper |
U.S.: Inventory Swings Are Whipsawing The Economy The ebb and flow of business inventories has the potential to generate some ups and downs this year that could greatly affect perceptions of the economy's strength. |
The Motley Fool September 28, 2006 Dan Caplinger |
Know Your Numbers: GDP GDP is widely considered to be the mother of all economic indicators. As the primary indicator of economic activity, GDP is the main feedback mechanism economic policymakers use when determining the paths they aim to follow. |
The Motley Fool January 11, 2008 Rich Greifner |
Are We Headed for a Recession? Who Cares? When economic experts offer differing opinions, it's difficult to know whom to trust. So here's some advice: Ignore them all. |
U.S. Banker March 2011 Dana Johnson |
Recovery Transitions to Tepid Expansion Six quarters after the business cycle trough, some but not all of the major imbalances in the economy have been repaired. |
Financial Planning October 1, 2006 David A. Twibell |
Read the Economy Financial advisors know that forecasting economic growth (or lack thereof) is always tricky. Understanding how the major economic indicators work can help improve your chances. |
Registered Rep. June 1, 2008 |
What Recession? Some economists say a U.S. recession may have been averted, as the markets and some economic indicators seem to have improved since March. |
The Motley Fool April 15, 2009 Kristin Graham |
History Says Buy Now If you spend too much time looking for signs, you'll miss the best returns. |
BusinessWeek October 22, 2007 James C. Cooper |
The Storms of August Continue Progress has been made, but the markets are still vulnerable to the housing spiral, the pace of hiring has slowed, and growth remains a big question mark. |
FDIC FYI August 29, 2002 |
Strong Bank Earnings Reflect Nature of U.S. Downturn Second quarter 2002 earnings results for commercial banks show that the benefits of a steep yield curve continue to outweigh the costs of higher credit losses. |
BusinessWeek November 17, 2003 Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: Productivity Isn't The Villain -- It's The Hero While some may blame increased productivity for a loss of jobs, productivity will ultimately make things better for everyone. |
BusinessWeek October 1, 2009 James C. Cooper |
Business Outlook: The Recovery: It's the Herd vs. History A growing consensus predicts a weak rebound from the recession, but that would go against both the latest data and a trend dating back nine business cycles. |
BusinessWeek February 21, 2005 Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: Job Growth Will Get Over Its January Blahs Bad weather helped cause a weak start to what will be a solid year. |
InternetNews July 30, 2004 Paul Shread |
A Mirror Image Of 2001 If there was a bright spot to Friday's weaker than expected GDP report, it's how far business investment has come in the last three years. |
BusinessWeek May 21, 2007 James C. Cooper |
U.S.: Job Markets Will Decide The Fed's Next Move The low jobless rate, despite slower growth, heightens the inflation threat. |
BusinessWeek September 10, 2007 James C. Cooper |
If Credit Markets Thaw, Recession Is Unlikely Growth will get squeezed, but housing will take the brunt. |
BusinessWeek August 15, 2005 Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: An Economy This Warm Won't Cool On Its Own Robust growth may require the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates into 2006. |
Financial Advisor March 2007 Milton Ezrati |
Bonds & Stocks: Still De-Coupled The economic outlook is good, and that's not so good for bonds. Without the support of short-rate cuts, bonds have a less than inspired outlook; not especially negative, but not especially promising either, offering little more return than the coupon. |