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FDIC FYI
November 4, 2003
Puwalski & Williams |
Economic Conditions and Emerging Risks in Banking The two main economic concerns of the past two years, a lack of new jobs and lackluster business investment, finally appear poised to subside.   |
FDIC FYI
April 11, 2002 |
Economic Conditions and Emerging Risks in Banking The report describes recent signs of a consumer-led recovery in the U.S. economy that may have begun in the first quarter... |
FDIC FYI
September 17, 2003
Susan Burhouse |
Evaluating the Consumer Lending Revolution Consumer balance sheets have become stretched by large amounts of new consumer and mortgage debt. This rapid increase in consumer spending and borrowing raises important questions about the sustainability of current debt loads and the vulnerability of the consumer sector to economic shocks. |
FDIC FYI
February 10, 2005
Cynthia Angell |
U.S. Home Prices: Does Bust Always Follow Boom? Examines the historical movement of home prices at the metro level to gain insight into the outlook for U.S. home prices. |
FDIC FYI
May 2, 2005 |
FYI Revisited U.S. Home Prices: Does Bust Always Follow Boom? The broadening of the U.S. housing boom during 2004 may imply a growing role for national factors-including the availability, price, and terms of mortgage credit-in explaining home price trends. |
FDIC FYI
March 28, 2002 |
Housing Market Strengths and Risks A report released today in the FDIC's Regional Outlook evaluates changes in mortgage underwriting during the last expansion, and the likelihood that weakening home price growth could adversely affect home borrowers and lenders... |
BusinessWeek
April 11, 2005
Kathleen Madigan |
After The Housing Boom What the real estate slowdown means for the economy. |
National Real Estate Investor
October 1, 2005
Anthony Downs |
Dissecting the Housing Bubble Question The most widely discussed real estate issue in the United States today boils down to a two-part question: Does a housing bubble in America exist? And if so, will it burst? |
FDIC FYI
February 27, 2003 |
How Real is the Threat of Deflation to the Banking Industry? Deflation refers to a decline in the general price level, usually caused by a sharp decline in money or credit supply or a severe contraction in the economy. This paper outlines the current debate over deflation, focusing on its potential effect on the banking industry. |
BusinessWeek
July 9, 2007
James C. Cooper |
Housing's New Risks For The Economy Mortgage rates are up, credit is tighter, and home prices are falling faster. |
U.S. Banker
November 2006
John Engen |
Reality Check The banking industry has never been more profitable, but with the yield curve inverted and consumer lending stalled, and an economic slowdown in the works, the winning streak looks to be in jeopardy. Are banks ready - and will more CEOs opt to sell out? |
BusinessWeek
September 10, 2007
James C. Cooper |
If Credit Markets Thaw, Recession Is Unlikely Growth will get squeezed, but housing will take the brunt. |
BusinessWeek
July 14, 2003
Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: The Skittish Bond Market Won't Shake Housing -- for Now Rates must rise more than a point to hurt. But it's another story for refis. |
BusinessWeek
November 10, 2003
Palmeri & Coy |
Say Goodbye To Refi Madness Homes aren't the cash cows they were. That could crimp consumer spending. |
BusinessWeek
October 9, 2006
James C. Cooper |
U.S.: Consumers Aren't Sweating The Housing Slump Yet The debate over the direction of the economy and Federal Reserve policy in the coming year boils down to one basic question: Will the housing slump drag down consumer spending and the economy? |
BusinessWeek
April 11, 2005
Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: Consumers May Just Keep Flexing Their Muscles Because of overall brighter financial conditions, consumer spending will continue. |
FDIC FYI
March 25, 2004 |
The Evolving Role of Commercial Banks in U.S. Credit Markets A careful analysis of U.S. financial sector data shows that banks' share of the financial services market has not shrunk to the extent that is commonly asserted. Moreover, banks have assumed leading roles in providing some of the newer types of financial services products, such as credit card securitizations and mortgage banking services. |
National Real Estate Investor
April 1, 2006
Anthony Downs |
Hard Truth of a Softer U.S. Housing Market Rising home prices and falling stock prices have greatly changed the composition of household assets since 2000. This shift has significant implications for commercial property markets as well as housing. |
FDIC FYI
October 28, 2003 |
The Changing Paradigm in Commercial Real Estate A transcript of a roundtable discussion with commercial real estate and commercial mortgage-backed securities experts |
BusinessWeek
September 22, 2003
Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: Consumers Will Keep Carrying the Ball True, jobs aren't back. But tax cuts and refinancings are doing the trick. |
FDIC FYI
February 7, 2002 |
Subprime Mortgage Lending Faces the Test of a Slowing Economy Entry by FDIC-insured institutions into subprime lending as a targeted line of business was largely a phenomenon of the 1990s. These lending programs are now being tested by recession, in most cases for the first time... |
Financial Planning
September 1, 2005 |
Mutual Fund Monitor The real costs of a housing bubble. |
U.S. Banker
October 2002
John Adams |
Of Housing and Helium Is the housing market a bubble waiting to pop? |
BusinessWeek
December 25, 2006
James C. Cooper |
U.S.: Count On Consumers To Keep Spending Expect a more moderate pace as job growth and wealth gains slow. |
FDIC FYI
August 29, 2002 |
Strong Bank Earnings Reflect Nature of U.S. Downturn Second quarter 2002 earnings results for commercial banks show that the benefits of a steep yield curve continue to outweigh the costs of higher credit losses. |
BusinessWeek
July 19, 2004
Coy & Miller |
Is A Housing Bubble About To Burst? As rising rates in the U.S. send mortgage payments higher, demand may cool. |
BusinessWeek
June 11, 2007
James C. Cooper |
U.S.: Is The Housing Recession Starting To Recede? The drag on economic growth is easing, and home demand is firming up. |
U.S. Banker
November 2007
Lee Conrad |
Buckle Up! Next Year will be A Bumpy Ride. Maybe the best thing economists can say about the 2008 outlook for banks is that it won't be as bad as the third quarter of 2007. |
FDIC FYI
March 13, 2002 |
Banks and Thrifts Post Record Earnings, Insurance Funds Slide Full-year 2001 financial data for all FDIC-insured institutions, released today in the Quarterly Banking Profile, depict record bank and thrift earnings even as the reserve ratios of the FDIC insurance funds continue to slide... |
FDIC FYI
November 26, 2002 |
Quarterly Banking Profile Commercial Banking Performance, Third Quarter 2002 Gains on securities sales keep earnings near record level... Weakness in overseas operations limits industry profits... Margins improve at community banks, decline at larger institutions... Strong mortgage demand fuels growth in loans... Asset-quality problems continue to grow at large banks |
BusinessWeek
January 17, 2005
Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: The Walls Won't Come Tumbling Down Mortgage rates in 2005 will remain low enough to keep housing affordable. |
HBS Working Knowledge
September 29, 2008
Martha Lagace |
Financial Crisis Caution Urged by Faculty Panel Dean Jay O. Light and a group of Harvard Business School faculty explored the origins and possible outcomes of the U.S. financial crisis at a recent "Turmoil on the Street" panel. |
| Knowledge@Wharton |
This Feels Like a Slump, But Is It a Recession? Comments from seven economists on whether the current slowdown is a recession, how to tell if it is one, and what this may indicate about the nature of the "new" economy. |
BusinessWeek
October 4, 2004
Cooper & Madigan |
U.S.: What's Everyone So Rattled About? Despite record wealth, business and consumers remain wary of the future. |
FDIC FYI
May 18, 2004 |
An Update on Emerging Issues in Banking Trends in Community Banking... The Declining Number of U.S. Banking Organizations: Will the Trend Continue?... Community Banks: Their Recent Past, Current Performance, and Future Prospects... |
Bank Director
4th Quarter 2010
Jack Millligan |
A Short Leash on Risk Bankers all across the country are beginning to tighten up their lending practices as a response to the regulatory pressure they are under to keep lending plain, conservative, and firmly under control. |
BusinessWeek
September 11, 2006
Mara Der Hovanesian |
Nightmare Mortgages They promise the American Dream: A home of your own - with ultra-low rates and payments anyone can afford. Now, the trap has sprung. |
Commercial Investment Real Estate
Jul/Aug 2013
Kevin Thorpe |
Slow but Steady The recovery pushes forward through fiscal policy headwinds. |
U.S. Banker
August 2001
Ted Cornwell |
Fears of Defaults Subprime loans are behind the fears. They have not been tested in a declining economy and analysts don't know what to expect. |
BusinessWeek
October 13, 2003
Cooper & Madigan |
U.S. Housing: Still Solid, but Creaking a Little Key first-time homebuyers look at steeper prices and mortgage rates. |
| Knowledge@Wharton |
It's Boom Time in the Housing Market, But for How Long? Following several years of rapid home price appreciation, real estate experts say current housing prices in the U.S. are based on solid foundations and are not purely a speculative bubble. However, they also say that certain regional markets are vulnerable to a downturn. |
BusinessWeek
April 12, 2004
Christopher Palmeri |
Home Buyers: ARMed And Dangerous? Adjustable-rate mortgages are pulling in new buyers -- but the risks are high |
The Motley Fool
January 9, 2007
Richard Gibbons |
Profit From the Housing Bust Smart investors recognize opportunity when everyone else is panicking. If you are prepared to consider a very risky short strategy, then homebuilders and lenders might seem like obvious targets. |
Inc.
August 2003
Gene Sperling |
The Insider's Guide to Economic Forecasting Or, How to Get Ahead of the Competition by Becoming Your Own Economist. A well-known economist pulls back the curtain on the indicators he and other top insiders use to figure out where the economy is headed. These indicators can guide you, too. |
Finance & Development
March 2011
Claessens et al. |
Gyrations in Financial Markets Financial cycles tend to be long and deep and often interact in ways that can cause booms or busts. |
BusinessWeek
May 7, 2007
James C. Cooper |
Why Consumer Spending Has Staying Power It looks like households are going to hit a couple of speed bumps this quarter: Surging prices for food and fuels promise to put the squeeze on purchasing power. |
U.S. Banker
January 2011
Scott Anderson |
Short-Term Gain, Long-Term Pain The Fed s plan to buy $600 billion of Treasury bonds might boost demand for loans, but this latest round of quantitative easing could hamper bank profitability and continue to restrain the economic recovery. |
BusinessWeek
April 9, 2007
James C. Cooper |
The Real Economic Threat: Weak Capital Spending Corporate caution could jeopardize job growth and consumer outlays. |
BusinessWeek
June 18, 2009
James C. Cooper |
Business Outlook: Why Consumer Spending Won't Drive a Recovery Households are paying down debt and rebuilding their nest eggs, so they're not spending. Still, that's unlikely to thwart a modest economic upturn. |
CFO
March 1, 2009
Edward Teach |
Lost and Foundering? Why we (probably) won't repeat Japan's infamous "lost decade." |
