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HBS Working Knowledge
December 5, 2012
James Heskett |
Should Managers Bother Listening to Predictions? Recent books by Nate Silver and Nassim Nicholas Taleb provide insights on how predictions work (or don't), leaving us to wonder, should we use predictions at all when planning for the future?   |
Search Engine Watch
June 24, 2009
Tim Ash |
Applying Probability to Landing Page Optimization In the context of LPO, probability can be viewed as simply taking the best guess given the available information. The more information you have, the more accurate your guess will become. |
The Motley Fool
April 23, 2011 |
Nassim Taleb on Living With Black Swans The author of "The Black Swan" and "Fooled by Randomness" talks about events in the Middle East, the oil supply, investing in options, the U.S. economy, the dollar, health care, and, of course, black swans. |
The Motley Fool
August 10, 2007
Jack Uldrich |
Foolish Book Review: "The Black Swan" We can't know what we don't know. And what we don't know is frequently more important than what we do know. That is the main theory of The Black Swan, a new book by Nassim Taleb, which may make you rethink how you view the world around you, and by extension, your investing assumptions. |
The Motley Fool
May 31, 2007
Jim Mueller |
Foolish Book Review: "Fooled by Randomness" Nassim Taleb's book shows how life and investing is more random than you realize. |
Financial Advisor
February 2009
Mary Rowland |
Everyone Is Wrong The true source of market volatility is mistakes, says market observer Woody Brock, founder and president of Strategic Economic Decisions. |
The Motley Fool
April 24, 2011
Vincent Scheurer |
On the Trail of the Black Swan Most investors continually make a classic mistake. |
BusinessWeek
July 22, 2010
Harrington et al. |
The Rush to Hedge Against Black Swan Events Wall Street is seeing a boom in hedge funds that offer protection from market calamities known as "long-tail risks." |
