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The Motley Fool January 30, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: A Glance at Google Google's margins are a thing of beauty, and the upward trend they're on is even more stunning. Unfortunately, the valuation looks pretty darn amazing, too. The stock sells for 96 times trailing earnings and an only slightly more reasonable 84 times trailing free cash flow. |
The Motley Fool January 23, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Ready for RedEnvelope? The company is unprofitable on a cash (free cash flow) or an accounting (GAAP net profits) basis. If it has any value at all, it's still in the eye of the beholder at this point. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool January 23, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Netflix in the Mail Reviewing the company's recent performance, we see a pronounced trend toward lower gross margins, both sequentially and year over year. By any traditional valuation method, Netflix looks grossly overpriced. |
The Motley Fool February 16, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Talk America Talks Talk America's flat to declining sales, plus fewer profits earned on those sales, is not a recipe for earnings growth. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool February 1, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Snap-On The company's cash from operations has been on a general downward trend for quite a while. Investors need to look for signs that this trend has truly reversed before jumping in. |
The Motley Fool January 24, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Simply CNS Analysts believe that CNS will grow at an annualized rate of 18% in the long term. That's tremendous, but perhaps not enough to justify its P/E ratio of 21, or its price-to-free cash flow ratio of 21. |
The Motley Fool April 3, 2006 Rich Smith |
ADAM Fesses Up Last month the health information publisher was a bargain at its then price of 20 times trailing free cash flow. With the share price now 30% lower, is the company still a buy? |
The Motley Fool March 13, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Monitoring the Citi Trends Citi Trends has been public for less than a year. Still, five quarters should be enough to give investors an idea as to where the company is trending. |
The Motley Fool March 6, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: TransAct Investors, if you thought TransAct looked expensive at a trailing P/E of 47, look again. At a price-to-free cash flow ratio of 80, it's doubly so. |
The Motley Fool March 3, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Checking TurboChef's Oven Operating and net margins, while strong during the end of last year, have both turned negative recently. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool January 24, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Qualcomm Calling High quality rarely comes without a high price tag. If you want to own a piece of Qualcomm, it's going to cost you 37 times earnings (and the same multiple to free cash flow) to do it. |
The Motley Fool February 27, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Autodesk Opens Its Drawers Autodesk sports a premium multiple even after the recent share price weakness: 30 times trailing earnings. |
The Motley Fool January 25, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: 1-800-Flowers in Season In its fiscal first-quarter earnings release back in November, the company promised improved margins later in the year. Investors, don't expect to see the whole bump all at once. |
The Motley Fool March 6, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Batter Up at Dick's Even if the sporting goods retailer meets expectations of 20% long-term earnings growth, the price looks pretty rich for investors. |
The Motley Fool January 23, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Unzipping Coach Coach's trailing P/E of 29 looks a little worse than its actual price-to-free cash flow ratio of 26. But even if the company continues to grow at analysts' projected rate of 20% per year, this is one pricey handbag. |
The Motley Fool February 6, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Under Armour Undresses Under Armour's short history doesn't tell investors much more than that gross margins are strengthening -- a strength that hasn't yet dropped to the bottom line. |
The Motley Fool February 9, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Can Champion Prevail? As demand for its manufactured home products builds in the wake of last year's hurricanes, Champion is on the comeback trail. But the company still has a few issues investors need to keep an eye on. |
The Motley Fool February 8, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: K-Swiss Ready to Run The athletic shoe manufacturer's performance may be super, but its valuation remains unexceptional. |
The Motley Fool February 27, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: BJ's Delivers Thanks to a 20% run-up in share price over the past three months, BJ's shares are starting to look pricey. The company has some work to do if it's to grow into its valuation. |
The Motley Fool February 1, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: International Page Turner Investors, look for signs that restructuring has produced a leaner and meaner International Paper, one that can execute more efficiently in the coming quarters. |
The Motley Fool March 6, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: What's Brewing in Boston? Boston Beer has boosted its gross margins by 100 basis points over the past 18 months, kept its operating margins steady (after recovering from an initial wobble), and grown its net (likewise). Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool January 24, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Colgate-Palmolive in the Wash Will the stock's winning streak continue? Wednesday's fourth-quarter and full-year 2005 results could factor heavily in answering that question. |
The Motley Fool March 28, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Arrow Nocks The medical products maker is having a tough time of things, margins-wise. Investors, do better days lie ahead? |
The Motley Fool February 21, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: LCA-Vision Checkup The 30% growth that analysts expect to see, although great objectively, still makes LCA's stock look expensive relative to its recent growth. |
The Motley Fool February 2, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Wendy's Order's Up There's a veritable plethora of issues on investor's radar, considering that Wendy's is going through a whole lot of changes in an effort to get its business back on track. |
The Motley Fool September 6, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Cutter to Putt Golfing clothier Cutter & Buck reports its fiscal first-quarter 2007 earnings tomorrow morning. For the first time in 18 months, analysts are expecting the firm to report an improvement in earnings versus the year-ago quarter. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool February 21, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Sina Debarks Although Sina officially sports a pricey P/E of 28, the company currently trades for just a bit over 20 times its trailing free cash flow. That's not at all an unreasonable price to pay if the firm can meet analyst estimates of 19% long-term profits growth. |
The Motley Fool March 15, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: TLC for TLC Vision? Will investors receive fourth-quarter and full-year numbers with tender loving care, or will they give the stock the boot? Whichever way it goes, here are the facts you'll need to evaluate whether Mr. Market's reaction is correct. |
The Motley Fool February 21, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Triangulating Garmin Garmin's rolling margins don't seem to be revealing much of a trend in its business. One quarter they're up, the next they're down. If analysts are correct in their estimates, the fourth-quarter will turn out to be a down quarter. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool March 17, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Sonic's Siren Calls Over the past six months, the burger joint has grown its sales by 13% year over year, while holding its cost of goods sold to a 10% increase, and growing selling, general, and administrative expenses by only 11%. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool February 22, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Pushing the Limited Judging from the rolling margins, the company appears to be slipping, becoming less profitable over time, and thus unlikely to turn in a profits improvement three times better than its sales improvement. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool March 15, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Winnebago Pulls In High raw-material and energy costs continue to squeeze Winnebago's gross margins, which have fallen steadily over the past 18 months. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool January 26, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Manpower Powers Up Priced at a 19 times multiple to earnings and 20 times free cash flow, Manpower isn't the cheapest company on the planet. Still, it might be worth a look to investors. |
The Motley Fool January 23, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Will Sun Come Out Tomorrow? Anyone who thinks that penny stocks are by definition "cheap" needs to take a close look at Sun Microsystems. |
The Motley Fool February 1, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Braving the Amazon.com Tomorrow, investors will see whether the company can pick up the pace again and reverse its slide with some real, honest-to-goodness cash profits. |
The Motley Fool January 25, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Sybase at Bat Sybase faces plenty of competition in the database market and as it head into tomorrow's earnings report for fourth-quarter and full-year 2005, the company looks set to end the year not with a bang, but with a whimper. |
The Motley Fool January 26, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Black & Decker Investors, keep an eye on the Power Tools and Accessories division. So long as it does well, Black & Decker as a whole will do just fine. |
The Motley Fool January 27, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Boning Up on Zimmer With its margins as high as they are, and rising as steadily as they are, you won't be surprised to hear that the medical technology company's shares command premium prices. |
The Motley Fool March 23, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Fetching REX The last few quarters have been good to specialty electronics retailer REX Stores, which has taken maximum advantage of federal tax breaks for investments in synthetic fuels. But is that the full story? Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool March 20, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: GameStop Starts With the exception of last quarter, GameStop's rolling gross margin has been trending downwards for the past 18 months, as have its operating and net margins. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool January 31, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Riding the Digital River Valuation looks good enough here -- especially when you consider just how truly cheap the stock is looking today. Investors, take note. |
The Motley Fool January 25, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Columbia Calling Even if sales rise a bit, as expected, investors need to watch those inventory levels closely; make sure the company isn't swamping itself in unwanted goods that it will need to unload at cut-rate prices in the future. |
The Motley Fool March 6, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Sportsman's Guide Shifting Wall Street has had more than a month to chew over January's guidance and has bid the company's shares up 14% in response. Can the stock go higher tomorrow? That will depend on two things. |
The Motley Fool January 30, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Corinthian's Q2 Report Card The past couple of quarters have not been kind to Corinthian's margins (or its stock, either). Primarily as a result of the firm's weak margins, its stock looks a bit pricey. |
The Motley Fool April 26, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: K-Swiss at the Gate The shoemaker reports first-quarter 2006 earnings tomorrow. Want to know what Wall Street expects to see? Want to know what really matters? |
The Motley Fool March 20, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Progress Boots Up Over the past four years, application infrastructure software maker Progress has beaten consensus estimates for its earnings 15 times in a row. Can the company make it a streak of "sweet 16" trouncings of the Wall Street Wise? |
The Motley Fool February 6, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Cracking Coke Open Whatever happens tomorrow with the net margin under GAAP, it's more important for investors to watch Coca-Cola's free cash flow, which usually exceeds accounting profits by a considerable amount. |
The Motley Fool April 20, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Hello, Halliburton The energy, industry, and government contracting behemoth reports first-quarter 2006 earnings tomorrow. Here's what Wall Street expects to see. |
The Motley Fool February 6, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Chewing Over Wrigley For investors, watching Wrigley's margin movement is like chewing on a stick of gum. It gives you something to do with your time, but doesn't really accomplish much. |
The Motley Fool March 21, 2006 Rich Smith |
Foolish Forecast: Adobe Downloads Investors, this company is practically printing money. Or at least it was, until this quarter. There are several things to keep in mind if you're to make sense of tomorrow's first-quarter earnings release -- and the market's reaction thereto. |